Why more and more companies use prediction-market data
Hedge funds, research desks and institutional consultancies are integrating data from Polymarket and Kalshi into their models. What they do and why it works.
Five years ago, using Polymarket on a trading desk was unusual. Today it’s a standard source of information for three types of teams:
1. Macro hedge funds
Prices for markets on Fed or ECB decisions update every minute and, during critical windows, often lead traditional econometric models. Teams at Citadel, Brevan Howard and others monitor these prices in real time.
2. Research desks
Investment banks use prediction markets as a complementary signal to fundamental analysis. Especially useful for binary events: regulatory approvals, mergers, court rulings.
3. Consultancies and communications agencies
In political campaigns and corporate crises, prediction markets are the fastest thermometer of how public perception is shifting.
What we offer
Forekast (in early access for professional teams) provides:
- Real-time prices from Polymarket and Kalshi unified.
- Downloadable tick-by-tick history.
- Metrics on the top forekasters by category (the “smart money” signal).
- Configurable webhook alerts.
If you’re starting from zero, read what a prediction market is first. If you want access to the cohort, reach out from the contact page.
