Learn about prediction markets
Guides for getting started, deep-dives into featured markets and reflections on the Polymarket, Kalshi and crypto ecosystem.
Why more and more companies use prediction-market data
Hedge funds, research desks and institutional consultancies are integrating data from Polymarket and Kalshi into their models. What they do and why it works.
How to pick which forekaster to follow (and which to skip)
The four metrics that actually matter when identifying a good forekaster — and the typical mistakes beginners make when choosing whom to copy.
What is a prediction market and how does it work?
A quick guide to understanding Polymarket, Kalshi and why prediction markets are the most honest way to measure the probability of future events.