Alex Chen
@alexchen
Alex has been among Polymarket’s top 10 forekasters for three years running. His strategy combines fundamental analysis of macro data (interest rates, employment, inflation) with a disciplined approach to bankroll management.
In 2025 he closed the year with a verified ROI of +138%, mostly trading on Fed monetary-policy markets and European election outcomes.
Latest public calls
Going YES on "Powell cuts rates in December" at 47¢. 8% of bankroll.
Kalshi · Powell cuts rates December
Closing my position on BTC > $200K. Taking +34¢ and pivoting into Ethereum ETF.
Kalshi · BTC > $200K halving 2028
The market is pricing in only two Fed cuts in 2026. I see at least three.
Macro thesis Q2 2026
Trophies unlocked
Top Forekaster
Streak ×10
Streak ×5
Oracle
Sniper
Whale