Diego Restrepo
@drestrepo
Diego built his edge covering Colombian elections as a journalist for ten years. When he landed on Polymarket in 2024, he applied the same approach to regional political markets and discovered that traditional polls systematically underestimate the young urban voter.
His methodology is documented in the open. He publishes every position before closing it and shares the model he uses each quarter.
Latest public calls
Going YES on "Powell cuts rates in December" at 47¢. 8% of bankroll.
Kalshi · Powell cuts rates December
Closing my position on BTC > $200K. Taking +34¢ and pivoting into Ethereum ETF.
Kalshi · BTC > $200K halving 2028
The market is pricing in only two Fed cuts in 2026. I see at least three.
Macro thesis Q2 2026
Trophies unlocked
Top Forekaster
Streak ×10
Streak ×5
Oracle
Sniper
Whale
