Maria Volkov
@mvolkov
Maria built a proprietary model for sports-market prices by comparing Polymarket’s liquidity against odds from the major sportsbooks. She finds inefficiencies in secondary markets (MVP awards, top scorer, etc.) that the market is slow to correct.
Latest public calls
Going YES on "Powell cuts rates in December" at 47¢. 8% of bankroll.
Kalshi · Powell cuts rates December
Closing my position on BTC > $200K. Taking +34¢ and pivoting into Ethereum ETF.
Kalshi · BTC > $200K halving 2028
The market is pricing in only two Fed cuts in 2026. I see at least three.
Macro thesis Q2 2026
Trophies unlocked
Top Forekaster
Streak ×10
Streak ×5
Oracle
Sniper
Whale