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POLYMARKET Politics CLOSES IN 831 DAYS
Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 US presidential election?
Binary market on the party winning the Electoral College in November 2028.
YES
47¢
The market implies a 47% probability.
NO
53¢
The market implies a 53% probability.
YES PRICE — 30 DAYS +17¢ MONTH
Volume
$12.4M
Closes
Nov 05, 2028
Venue
Polymarket
Top forekasters following this market
One of the most liquid markets on Polymarket in 2026. Presidential-election markets historically tend to overreact to short-term news, and the best forekasters gain edge by waiting for the noise to settle before taking a position.
Not sure how a binary YES/NO market works? Read what a prediction market is first. And before copying anyone, how to pick which forekaster to follow.